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IBC Final Thoughts: 47,000 People Can’t Be Wrong

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IBC 2008 came to a close today, with final attendance figures topping the 47,000 mark, a record number of industry folk. Restaurants and bars seemed to back up the numbers, as crowds were the norm.

 

So what was the final buzz? What trends did the show hint at? Here’s a quick wrap-up:

 

3D HD, for both cinema and TV, is definitely in the sights of industry executives. Post-production tools from Quantel, display technologies from Philips eliminate the need to wear glasses, and the fact that 23 3D HD movies are in production are all one needs to know that it is coming and coming fast ... Meanwhile, mobile video, all the rage in years past at IBC, seems to be a technology hunting for a market. The technology works, but business models continue to be grappled with. Of course, the biggest challenge is that mobile video needs a “perfect storm” of events for consumers to REALLY want it. First, the consumer needs to be outside of viewing range of a regular TV set (harder and harder as sets hit public spaces, bars, and restaurants). Second, the consumer needs to be free from having to focus on other things, like driving, conversing, or reading. And third, consumers need to be able to receive a signal (which makes tuning in on a subway or plane out of the question). So that basically leaves three places where it makes sense: sitting in a waiting room, sitting in an airport, and sitting in the backseat of a car. That isn’t quite enough to drive subscriptions of $15 and up. ...

 

That said, good old-fashioned HDTV is still popular, but now increasing efficiencies in transmission via technology like DVB-T2 (with 50% gains over DVB) and Dirac (the BBC tech referred to elsewhere on the blog) make it cheaper and, more important, better.

 

So what should Europeans expect in 2009? More HD channels, more interest in 3D HD, and, possibly, more interest in mobile TV.

 

Let’s check back next September and see how it all shakes out!

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